Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 11.156212 13.063189 15.148913 17.593017 20.371763 23.425742 27.029065
2025-07-06 7.572385 10.039357 13.027877 16.883543 21.691538 27.452329 34.835803
2025-07-13 6.197607 9.043741 12.769991 17.932455 24.814210 33.577277 45.468864
2025-07-20 5.245044 8.300896 12.569816 18.839334 27.656779 39.437021 56.147970
2025-07-27 4.445923 7.571996 12.199614 19.353230 29.890874 44.557107 66.152828
2025-08-03 3.739298 6.825245 11.647429 19.461272 31.464578 48.793220 75.165554
2025-08-10 3.081837 6.021286 10.862566 19.069362 32.186198 51.780745 82.526010
2025-08-17 2.539532 5.302774 10.091163 18.564968 32.623500 54.303670 89.292993
2025-08-24 2.091108 4.662604 9.345594 17.983600 32.832969 56.429776 95.527815
2025-08-31 1.693521 4.037767 8.526500 17.155435 32.517695 57.654062 100.377050
2025-09-07 1.513860 3.815936 8.409506 17.541391 34.263063 62.268872 110.837354
2025-09-14 1.348854 3.592422 8.253943 17.827582 35.838743 66.682177 121.202706
2025-09-21 1.124568 3.208711 7.761393 17.491777 36.407912 69.678320 129.845160
2025-09-28 0.900639 2.775171 7.102428 16.760890 36.210948 71.408275 136.613050
2025-10-05 0.841672 2.741270 7.302413 17.798633 39.461726 79.443208 154.748044
2025-10-12 0.778659 2.681255 7.432073 18.698828 42.517601 87.325965 173.083490
2025-10-19 0.699496 2.555859 7.386755 19.209257 44.832598 93.993155 189.633972
2025-10-26 0.609844 2.374994 7.174871 19.316577 46.323868 99.206577 203.840584
2025-11-02 0.511078 2.135966 6.772123 18.927192 46.727500 102.357171 214.411700
2025-11-09 0.423911 1.906179 6.348798 18.426063 46.829823 104.907094 223.978447
2025-11-16 0.348520 1.690590 5.920605 17.848475 46.694961 106.955631 232.679839
2025-11-23 0.278758 1.468373 5.425733 17.025722 45.912664 107.619655 238.709397
2025-11-30 0.251434 1.405389 5.394160 17.409152 47.946366 114.194548 256.695438